Westerly Eviction Risk: Lower

What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 96.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $3,000 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Erie commands.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. At 2% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Candlelight Ridge and Grandview score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.