Frederick Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 38.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Weld County average of 4.2.

Average gross rent is $2,121, 11% below the Frederick average. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $104,712.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.