Frederick Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 45.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.5/10. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Weld County average of 4.2.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,217, close to the Frederick average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $130,550.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.