Fox Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Frederick

The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.9/10. The voucher gap is 49.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Weld County average of 4.2.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.