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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

The Pavillion Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,079 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.3

The Pavillion is a white-black neighborhood in Jacksonville with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,079 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,518/month sits 4% higher than the Jacksonville citywide average ($1,465).

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Pavillion vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.8% +24%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,518 +4%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$73,385 +10%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
9.9% -34%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
59.8% +41%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Pavillion and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.3

Why The Pavillion scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–4.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

The Pavillion vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Pavillion score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Pavillion: 3.63.6The PavillionNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Pavillion

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031014425 4.3 3,712 43% $1,698
12031014426 3 4,367 39% $1,365
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Pavillion

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 701Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.5Avg monthly observed
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 8.54×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About The Pavillion

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Pavillion?

The Pavillion scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Pavillion compare to Jacksonville overall?

The Pavillion scores 1.1 points higher than Jacksonville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,518 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Pavillion?

Average gross rent in The Pavillion is $1,518/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Pavillion residents are renters?

60% of The Pavillion households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 8,079 residents.
Q5

Is The Pavillion a high social-vulnerability area?

The Pavillion sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Pavillion have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Pavillion is census tract 12031014425 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.3, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is The Pavillion for landlords?

The Pavillion carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Pavillion?

The Pavillion has 8,795 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Pavillion

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Pavillion.

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