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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

The Pavillion Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,079 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3–4

The Pavillion spans 2 census tracts of Jacksonville, FL and houses 8,079 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Jacksonville rate of 32.8%. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. That places it #19 of 33 neighborhoods in Jacksonville.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Timberview and Loretto. Average gross rent runs $1,518, close to the Jacksonville average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $73,385. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Pavillion vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.8% +24%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,518 +4%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$73,385 +10%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
9.9% -34%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
59.8% +41%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Pavillion and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4

Why The Pavillion scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–4.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

The Pavillion vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Pavillion score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5The PavillionNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Pavillion

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031014425 4 3,712 43% $1,698
12031014426 3 4,367 39% $1,365
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Pavillion

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 701Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.5Avg monthly observed
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 8.54×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About The Pavillion

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Pavillion?

The Pavillion scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Pavillion compare to Jacksonville overall?

The Pavillion scores 0.1 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,518 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Pavillion?

Average gross rent in The Pavillion is $1,518/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Pavillion residents are renters?

60% of The Pavillion households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 8,079 residents.
Q5

Is The Pavillion a high social-vulnerability area?

The Pavillion sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Pavillion have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Pavillion is census tract 12031014425 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is The Pavillion for landlords?

The Pavillion carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Pavillion?

The Pavillion has 8,795 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Pavillion

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Pavillion.

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