Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
The Pavillion Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031014425 · Duval, FL · pop 3,712 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 12031014425 covers the The Pavillion neighborhood of Jacksonville, home to 3,712 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,698 a month against an average household income of $69,297 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,634
Renter share53.7%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$69,297
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2026, -81.5258 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Pavillion scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How The Pavillion compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 379Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 17.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Pavillion. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Pavillion
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 17.55x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014425
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014425?
Census tract 12031014425 in the The Pavillion neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014425?
Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014425?
18.9% of residents in tract 12031014425 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,712.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014425?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 37th, minority 66th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 12031014425 considered part of The Pavillion?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014425 fall within The Pavillion (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014425 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 17.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031014425 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014425 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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