Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011301 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,655 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 12057011301 sits in the Arlington area of Lake Magdalene, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. Population here is 3,655. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share14.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$99,034
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0748, -82.4984 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,643 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 115Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2002)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 28Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 115 evictions over 11 years of observation.
At $1,643 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Lake Magdalene commands. Filings peaked in 2002 at 14.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011301?
Census tract 12057011301 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011301?
Median gross rent is $1,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011301?
11.0% of residents in tract 12057011301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 85th, minority 57th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011301 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011301 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011301 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011301 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12057011106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Angelina Pines
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
All Bright Shores
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Angelina Pines
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
All Bright Shores
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
All Bright Shores
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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