Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011516 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,377 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 12057011516 sits in the Arlington area of Northdale, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share36.7%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$88,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0883, -82.5140 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,781 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 114Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.7%Peak (2002)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 97Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.1 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 114 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 25.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011516
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011516?
Census tract 12057011516 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011516?
Median gross rent is $1,781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011516?
5.7% of residents in tract 12057011516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,377.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011516?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 34th, minority 59th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011516 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011516 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011516?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011516 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.92% of renter households, peaking at 25.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011516 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011516 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011516 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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