Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011303 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,364 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Arlington area of Carrollwood is where census tract 12057011303 sits, home to 3,364 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #44,709 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,203 a month against an average household income of $75,170 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%Stable renters 20%Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,527
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$75,170
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67th percentile
#2 of 4 tracts In Arlington
Elevated
Within parent city
57th percentile
#4 of 8 tracts In Carrollwood
Elevated
Within county
21th percentile
#264 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
23th percentile
#3,967 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0647, -82.4914 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,203 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
242Total filings over 11 yrs
5.11%Avg annual filing rate
9.9%Peak (2005)
13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 24% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
76Total filings 2020-21
1.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 242 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.9% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011303?
Census tract 12057011303 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011303?
Median gross rent is $1,203/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011303?
4.0% of residents in tract 12057011303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,364.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 81th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011303 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011303 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 242 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011303 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011303 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollwood at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.