Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011407 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,100 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12057011407 covers part of the Arlington area of Carrollwood, FL, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,033
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$94,479
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0741, -82.5119 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,668 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 132Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2000)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 45Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 132 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2000 at 6.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,668, close to the Carrollwood average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011407?
Census tract 12057011407 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011407?
Median gross rent is $1,668/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011407?
6.7% of residents in tract 12057011407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,100.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 6th, minority 39th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011407 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011407 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.83% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011407 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011407 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011407 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related