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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12057011418 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,687 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 3.3/10, tract 12057011418 in the Carrollwood Village area of Carrollwood, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,687 residents. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 11% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,637
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$79,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Carrollwood Village
Low
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Carrollwood
Elevated
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#229 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#3,269 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region

Centroid at 28.0789, -82.5236 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrollwood Village scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,657 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0

How Carrollwood Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrollwood Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0114184.0Carrollwoodparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 156Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2004)
  • 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057011418
Filings climbed 186% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 64Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 0.9 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 156 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2004 at 5.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011418

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011418?

Census tract 12057011418 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011418?

Median gross rent is $1,657/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011418?

5.6% of residents in tract 12057011418 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,687.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011418?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 71th, minority 56th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011418 considered part of Carrollwood Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011418 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011418?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011418 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011418 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011418 compare to Carrollwood overall?

Tract 12057011418 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood

Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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