Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010814 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,210 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Eviction risk in Nowatney in University centers on tract 12057010814, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,210 residents. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,535 a month against an average household income of $43,750 a year, roughly 42% of income at the averages. About 94% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,253
Renter share93.7%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate41.2%
Median income$43,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0616, -82.4291 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,535 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 955Total filings over 11 yrs
- 14.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.1%Peak (2002)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 301Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.84x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 955 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 14.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 33.1% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010814
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010814?
Census tract 12057010814 in the Nowatney neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010814?
Median gross rent is $1,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010814?
41.2% of residents in tract 12057010814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,210.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010814?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 31th, minority 76th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010814 considered part of Nowatney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010814 fall within Nowatney (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010814?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 955 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010814 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.56% of renter households, peaking at 33.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010814 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010814 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010814 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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