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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

Tract 12057010814 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,210 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

12057010814 is a census tract in the Nowatney area of University, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 39% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,253
Renter share93.7%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate41.2%
Median income$43,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Nowatney
Very High
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In University
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#128 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across University and the region

Centroid at 28.0616, -82.4291 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nowatney scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,535 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0

How Nowatney compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nowatney risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0108143.2Universityparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 955Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 14.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.1%Peak (2002)
  • 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057010814
Filings dropped 49% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 301Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nowatney

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Set annual rent against average income of $43,750 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,535, 30% above the University average. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The filing record is not thin: 955 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2002 at 33.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010814

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010814?

Census tract 12057010814 in the Nowatney neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010814?

Median gross rent is $1,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010814?

41.2% of residents in tract 12057010814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,210.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010814?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 31th, minority 76th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010814 considered part of Nowatney?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010814 fall within Nowatney (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010814?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 955 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010814 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.56% of renter households, peaking at 33.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010814 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057010814 compare to University overall?

Tract 12057010814 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of University at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University

Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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