Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010816 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,624 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 12057010816 reflects conditions in the Nowatney area of University, Florida. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,220 a month while the average household earns $29,066 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 71%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,630
Renter share99.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate40.6%
Median income$29,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0593, -82.4395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
40.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,220 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,878Total filings over 11 yrs
- 20.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.7%Peak (2000)
- 170Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 915Total filings 2020-21
- 12.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.97x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,878 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 20.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.7% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010816
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010816?
Census tract 12057010816 in the Nowatney neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010816?
Median gross rent is $1,220/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010816?
40.6% of residents in tract 12057010816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,624.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010816?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 92th, minority 91th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010816 considered part of Nowatney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010816 fall within Nowatney (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010816?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,878 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010816 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.15% of renter households, peaking at 32.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010816 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010816 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010816 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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