Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $37,083, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Average gross rent is $1,078, 8% below the University average. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.