Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010822 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,201 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Nowatney in University is where census tract 12057010822 sits, home to 2,201 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,078 monthly, set against $37,083 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 94% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units988
Renter share93.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$37,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0716, -82.4482 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 459Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.07x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010822
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010822?
Census tract 12057010822 in the Nowatney neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010822?
Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010822?
22.1% of residents in tract 12057010822 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,201.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010822?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 65th, minority 85th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010822 considered part of Nowatney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010822 fall within Nowatney (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010822 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057010822 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010822 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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