Modello Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leisure City
Tract 12086010804 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 7,232 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 12086010804 sits in the Modello area of Naranja, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. Population here is 7,232. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.5126, -80.4240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 529Total filings 2020-21
- 7.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Modello
It sits 3.3 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 33.6% against 11.3% nationally.
This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $57,681, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 3.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 59% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,616, close to the Naranja average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12086010804
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010804?
What is the average rent in tract 12086010804?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010804?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010804?
Is tract 12086010804 considered part of Modello?
Did eviction filings in tract 12086010804 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12086010804 compare to Leisure City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.