Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City
Tract 12086010900 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 6,894 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12086010900 sits in the Modello area of Leisure City, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.4969, -80.4391 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 114Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2015)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 146Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Modello
Adults with no health insurance runs 40.0% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $36,851, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,344 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Leisure City commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 114 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12086010900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010900?
What is the average rent in tract 12086010900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010900?
Is tract 12086010900 considered part of Modello?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086010900?
Did eviction filings in tract 12086010900 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12086010900 compare to Leisure City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.