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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City

Tract 12086010900 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 6,894 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 12086010900 sits in the Modello area of Leisure City, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 33% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,281
Renter share79.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate27.1%
Median income$36,851

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Modello
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Leisure City
High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#248 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#964 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leisure City and the region

Centroid at 25.4969, -80.4391 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modello scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.1% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,344 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
1.6

How Modello compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Modello risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0109003.7Leisure Cityparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 114Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak (2015)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 146Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modello

Adults with no health insurance runs 40.0% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $36,851, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,344 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Leisure City commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 114 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086010900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010900?

Census tract 12086010900 in the Modello neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086010900?

Median gross rent is $1,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010900?

27.1% of residents in tract 12086010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 96th, minority 97th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 12086010900 considered part of Modello?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010900 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086010900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086010900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086010900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086010900 compare to Leisure City overall?

Tract 12086010900 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City

Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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