Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Modello Eviction Risk: Lower , Leisure City
Tract 12086011003 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,591 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Modello area of Leisure City anchors census tract 12086011003, which lands at 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 16% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,231 a month against an average household income of $74,072 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,263
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$74,072
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.4861, -80.4431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,231 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
1.6
How Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 2 yrs
- 8.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2016)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Modello
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leisure City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086011003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086011003?
Census tract 12086011003 in the Modello neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086011003?
Median gross rent is $2,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086011003?
9.8% of residents in tract 12086011003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,591.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086011003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 76th, minority 95th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 12086011003 considered part of Modello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086011003 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086011003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086011003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.03% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086011003 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086011003 compare to Leisure City overall?
Tract 12086011003 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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