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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City

Tract 12086011012 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,268 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

How risky is Modello in Leisure City for landlords? Census tract 12086011012 scores 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #64,212 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

70% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 70% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,133 a month against an average household income of $54,300 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 4% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units650
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$54,300

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Modello
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Leisure City
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#238 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,095 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leisure City and the region

Centroid at 25.4860, -80.4345 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modello scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$2,133 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
1.6

How Modello compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Modello risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 011012Leisure City: 2.52.5Leisure Cityparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 21Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (11.76× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (11.76× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modello

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leisure City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.95x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086011012

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086011012?

Census tract 12086011012 in the Modello neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086011012?

Median gross rent is $2,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086011012?

16.0% of residents in tract 12086011012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,268.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086011012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 90th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 12086011012 considered part of Modello?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086011012 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086011012 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086011012 compare to Leisure City overall?

Tract 12086011012 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City

Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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