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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Dinner Key Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami

Tract 12086007003 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,551 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 12086007003 sits in the Dinner Key area of Miami eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 27% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,604
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$59,668

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Dinner Key
High
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 132 tracts In Miami
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#327 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7468, -80.2422 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dinner Key scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,210 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Dinner Key compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dinner Key risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0070034.6Miamiparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 78Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dinner Key. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dinner Key

Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $59,668, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

At $2,210 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Miami commands. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 59% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086007003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086007003?

Census tract 12086007003 in the Dinner Key neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086007003?

Median gross rent is $2,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086007003?

10.8% of residents in tract 12086007003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,551.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086007003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 43th, minority 93th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 12086007003 considered part of Dinner Key?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086007003 fall within Dinner Key (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086007003 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086007003 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086007003 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12086007003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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