Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City
Tract 12086010804 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 7,232 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 12086010804 covers the Modello area of Leisure City in Florida. Home to 7,232 residents, it scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #14,103 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,616 a month while the average household earns $57,681 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,556
Renter share82.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate29.1%
Median income$57,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.5126, -80.4240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.1% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,616 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
9.0
How Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 529Total filings 2020-21
- 7.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Modello
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leisure City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.96x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086010804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010804?
Census tract 12086010804 in the Modello neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086010804?
Median gross rent is $1,616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010804?
29.1% of residents in tract 12086010804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,232.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 88th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 12086010804 considered part of Modello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010804 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086010804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086010804 compare to Leisure City overall?
Tract 12086010804 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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