Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Goldenrod Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12095016408 · Orange, FL · pop 2,401
12095016408 is a census tract in Goldenrod, FL. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,401 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units949
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$70,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goldenrod and the region
Centroid at 28.6000, -81.2805 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goldenrod scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goldenrod
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,578 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goldenrod
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goldenrod
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goldenrod
8.1
How Goldenrod compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 378Total filings over 9 yrs
- 8.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.1%Peak (2007)
- 45Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goldenrod
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Cost burden runs 66% here against 51.4% across Orange County.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.
It sits 1.5 points above the Orange County average of 4.2. Court records carry 378 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 19.1% of renter households were served.
At $1,578 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Goldenrod commands. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,804.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095016408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016408?
Census tract 12095016408 in Goldenrod scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095016408?
Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016408?
14.6% of residents in tract 12095016408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,401.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 49th, minority 64th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095016408?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095016408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.77% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12095016408 compare to Goldenrod overall?
Tract 12095016408 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Goldenrod at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goldenrod; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goldenrod
Top eight tracts in Goldenrod ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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