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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Pine Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095012201 · Orange, FL · pop 5,919 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 12095012201 in the Pine Hills area of Pine Hills, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,919 residents. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 20% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,668
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$50,783

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Pine Hills
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Pine Hills
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#259 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Hills and the region

Centroid at 28.5650, -81.4718 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pine Hills scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pine Hills
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.1

How Pine Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pine Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0122014.4Pine Hillsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 627Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 15.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.9%Peak (2003)
  • 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095012201
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pine Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pine Hills

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $50,783, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Orange County average of 51.4%. Court records carry 627 eviction filings across 9 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 23.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 15.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095012201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095012201?

Census tract 12095012201 in the Pine Hills neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095012201?

Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095012201?

24.4% of residents in tract 12095012201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,919.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095012201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 100th, minority 89th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 12095012201 considered part of Pine Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095012201 fall within Pine Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095012201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 627 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095012201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.21% of renter households, peaking at 23.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095012201 compare to Pine Hills overall?

Tract 12095012201 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Pine Hills at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pine Hills

Top eight tracts in Pine Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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