Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Lower , Clearwater
Tract 12103025421 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12103025421 sits in the Bayside Arbors area of Clearwater eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 3,386. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$67,039
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9433, -82.7228 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,129 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 282Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $67,039, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,129, 28% above the Clearwater average. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025421
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025421?
Census tract 12103025421 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025421?
Median gross rent is $2,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025421?
14.5% of residents in tract 12103025421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025421?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 44th, minority 37th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025421 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025421 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025421 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103025421 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103025421 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026401
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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