Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater
Tract 12103025413 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,764 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12103025413 is a census tract in the Bayside Arbors area of Clearwater, FL. It scores 4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,764. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,703
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$60,335
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9492, -82.7326 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,275 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 494Total filings over 18 yrs
- 6.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2014)
- 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. At $1,275 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Clearwater commands.
The filing record is not thin: 494 evictions over 18 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 10.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $60,335.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025413
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025413?
Census tract 12103025413 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025413?
Median gross rent is $1,275/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025413?
13.3% of residents in tract 12103025413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,764.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025413?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 53th, minority 31th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025413 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025413 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025413?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 494 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025413 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.38% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025413 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025413 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103025413 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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