Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater
Tract 12103026819 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,676 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 12103026819 covers part of the Bayside Arbors area of Clearwater, FL, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,160
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$61,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9643, -82.7171 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,889 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 768Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2000)
- 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 85% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 172Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $61,500 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 768 evictions over 18 years of observation. At $1,889 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Clearwater commands.
It sits 0.7 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2000 at 9.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026819
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026819?
Census tract 12103026819 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026819?
Median gross rent is $1,889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026819?
19.2% of residents in tract 12103026819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026819?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 65th, minority 51th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026819 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026819 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026819?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 768 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103026819 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.32% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026819 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026819 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103026819 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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