Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater
Tract 12103025412 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,129 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 12103025412 sits in Bayside Arbors in Clearwater eviction risk, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. That is riskier than about 21% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,300 a month against an average household income of $64,991 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,295
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$64,991
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9396, -82.7383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 697Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.2%Peak (2013)
- 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 145Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 697 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 8.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.2% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025412?
Census tract 12103025412 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025412?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025412?
12.3% of residents in tract 12103025412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 44th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025412 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025412 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 697 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025412 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103025412 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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