Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Lower , Clearwater
Tract 12103025412 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,129 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 12103025412 in the Bayside Arbors area of Clearwater, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,129. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,295
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$64,991
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9396, -82.7383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 697Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.2%Peak (2013)
- 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 145Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
At $1,300 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Clearwater commands. Court records carry 697 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 18.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $64,991.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025412?
Census tract 12103025412 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025412?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025412?
12.3% of residents in tract 12103025412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 44th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025412 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025412 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 697 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025412 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103025412 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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