Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater
Tract 12103026819 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,676 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12103026819 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood of Clearwater ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,676 residents. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,889 monthly, set against $61,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,160
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$61,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9643, -82.7171 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,889 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 768Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2000)
- 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 85% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 172Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 768 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2000.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.01x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026819
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026819?
Census tract 12103026819 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026819?
Median gross rent is $1,889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026819?
19.2% of residents in tract 12103026819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026819?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 65th, minority 51th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026819 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026819 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026819?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 768 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103026819 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.32% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026819 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026819 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103026819 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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