Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Bayside Arbors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater
Tract 12103025421 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12103025421, home to 3,386 residents in Bayside Arbors in Clearwater, scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #59,416 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,129 monthly, set against $67,039 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$67,039
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9433, -82.7228 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayside Arbors scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,129 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Bayside Arbors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 282Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayside Arbors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayside Arbors
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.32x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025421
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025421?
Census tract 12103025421 in the Bayside Arbors neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025421?
Median gross rent is $2,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025421?
14.5% of residents in tract 12103025421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025421?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 44th, minority 37th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025421 considered part of Bayside Arbors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025421 fall within Bayside Arbors (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025421 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103025421 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103025421 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103026200
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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