Heritage Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $40,873 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Cost burden runs 62% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.0% against 11.3% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.