Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #27,245 of 84,120 nationally
Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman
Tract 12103024701 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,228 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in Duval Park in Lealman centers on tract 12103024701, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,228 residents. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $747 a month against an average household income of $44,177 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$44,177
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lealman and the region
Centroid at 27.8254, -82.6896 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duval Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lealman
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$747 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lealman
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lealman
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lealman
7.0
How Duval Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 521Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 45Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 96% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 183Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duval Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duval Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lealman, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 17% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024701?
Census tract 12103024701 in the Duval Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024701?
Median gross rent is $747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024701?
21.6% of residents in tract 12103024701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,228.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 91th, minority 61th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024701 considered part of Duval Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024701 fall within Duval Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 521 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.74% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024701 compare to Lealman overall?
Tract 12103024701 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lealman at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lealman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103024701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lealman
Top eight tracts in Lealman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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