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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman

Tract 12103024703 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,592 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 12103024703 in the Duval Park area of Lealman, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 19% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,211
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$46,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Duval Park
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Lealman
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lealman and the region

Centroid at 27.8151, -82.6851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duval Park scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lealman
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lealman
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lealman
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lealman
7.0

How Duval Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duval Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0247034.0Lealmanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 993Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 9.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.0%Peak (2001)
  • 53Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103024703
Filings dropped 52% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 206Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Duval Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duval Park

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $46,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 993 filings here across 18 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 21.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103024703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024703?

Census tract 12103024703 in the Duval Park neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103024703?

Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024703?

11.4% of residents in tract 12103024703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,592.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 89th, minority 52th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 12103024703 considered part of Duval Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024703 fall within Duval Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 993 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.58% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103024703 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103024703 compare to Lealman overall?

Tract 12103024703 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lealman at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lealman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12103024703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 38% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lealman

Top eight tracts in Lealman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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