Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman
Tract 12103024703 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,592 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 12103024703 in the Duval Park area of Lealman, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lealman and the region
Centroid at 27.8151, -82.6851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duval Park scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Duval Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 38%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 993Total filings over 18 yrs
- 9.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.0%Peak (2001)
- 53Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duval Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Duval Park
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $46,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 993 filings here across 18 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 21.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12103024703
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024703?
What is the average rent in tract 12103024703?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024703?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024703?
Is tract 12103024703 considered part of Duval Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024703?
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024703 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12103024703 compare to Lealman overall?
Was tract 12103024703 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lealman
Top eight tracts in Lealman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.