Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Central Oak Park Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103022700 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,007 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12103022700 is a census tract in the Central Oak Park area of St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,007. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,759
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$80,978
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7861, -82.6893 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Oak Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,731 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Central Oak Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 345Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2015)
- 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 87Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Oak Park
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 345 evictions over 18 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103022700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103022700?
Census tract 12103022700 in the Central Oak Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103022700?
Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103022700?
4.3% of residents in tract 12103022700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,007.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103022700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 31th, minority 40th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12103022700 considered part of Central Oak Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103022700 fall within Central Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103022700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 345 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103022700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.53% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103022700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103022700 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103022700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103022700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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