Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Central Oak Park Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103022102 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,040 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 12103022102 in the Central Oak Park area of St. Petersburg, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,040. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$85,273
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7737, -82.6896 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Oak Park scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,212 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Central Oak Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 50%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 109Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Oak Park
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $1,212 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Against average income of $85,273, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103022102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103022102?
Census tract 12103022102 in the Central Oak Park neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103022102?
Median gross rent is $1,212/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103022102?
11.5% of residents in tract 12103022102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,040.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103022102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 26th, minority 43th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 12103022102 considered part of Central Oak Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103022102 fall within Central Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103022102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103022102 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103022102 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103022102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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