Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Central Oak Park Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 8,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–4.3

Central Oak Park spans 3 census tracts of St. Petersburg, FL, population 8,993. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs about half against 33.9% citywide, putting Central Oak Park 16.4% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 345 evictions logged in this tract.

At $1,438 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 7.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 3.5% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 42 mapped neighborhoods of St. Petersburg, it ranks #28 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Live Oak and Disston Heights score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $78,305.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Central Oak Park vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.3% +48%

St. Petersburg: 33.9%

Average gross rent

$1,438 -14%

St. Petersburg: $1,663

Average HH income

$78,305 -1%

St. Petersburg: $78,724

Poverty rate

9.4% -19%

St. Petersburg: 11.7%

Renter share

29.0% -22%

St. Petersburg: 37.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Oak Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4.3

Why Central Oak Park scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

50% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

9.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.2 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts

2.3

Risk score comparison

Central Oak Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Oak Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.3 points from 3 to 4.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.3 3.2 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Central Oak Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103022101	4.3	1,946	25%	$1,187
12103022102	3.2	3,040	40%	$1,212
12103022700	3	4,007	70%	$1,731

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 25%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 51%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Oak Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

345Total filings (sum)
5.53%Avg annual filing rate
7.3%Peak year (2015)
3.49%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

270Total filings 2020-21
1.3Avg monthly observed
1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.83×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Central Oak Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Oak Park?

Central Oak Park scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central Oak Park compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Central Oak Park scores 0.2 points lower than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,438 vs $1,663.

What is the average rent in Central Oak Park?

Average gross rent in Central Oak Park is $1,438/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central Oak Park residents are renters?

29% of Central Oak Park households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 8,993 residents.

Is Central Oak Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Oak Park sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Central Oak Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Oak Park is census tract 12103022101 (score 4.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.3, a spread of 1.3 points.

How safe is Central Oak Park for landlords?

Central Oak Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Oak Park?

Central Oak Park has 9,140 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.7%), Hispanic / Latino (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Oak Park

4.5 Childs Park 4 tracts · pop 10,580 3.3 Live Oak 2 tracts · pop 8,258 3.3 Disston Heights 4 tracts · pop 16,404 4.3 Ponce de Leon 2 tracts · pop 5,651 3.6 Euclid-St. Paul 2 tracts · pop 4,178 4.3 Holiday Park 3 tracts · pop 14,054

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Oak Park.

3.3 Live Oak 2 tracts · pop 8,258 3.2 Historic Old Northeast 3 tracts · pop 5,665 3.2 Waterside 1 tracts · pop 3,918 3.4 Disston Heights 4 tracts · pop 16,404 3.1 Grovemont 1 tracts · pop 3,050 3.1 Lake Maggiore Shores 2 tracts · pop 9,399

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