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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Central Oak Park Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 8,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 2.7–3.9

Central Oak Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 3 census tracts and a population of 8,993 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,438/month sits 14% lower than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score
3.1
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Central Oak Park vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.3% +48%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,438 -14%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$78,305 -1%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
9.4% -19%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
29.0% -22%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Oak Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.7–3.9

Why Central Oak Park scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
9.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.2 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Central Oak Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Oak Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Central Oak Park: 3.13.1Central Oak ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Oak Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 2.7 to 3.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Central Oak Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103022101 3.9 1,946 25% $1,187
12103022102 3.2 3,040 40% $1,212
12103022700 2.7 4,007 70% $1,731
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Oak Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 345Total filings (sum)
  • 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.49%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 270Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly observed
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.83×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Central Oak Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Oak Park?

Central Oak Park scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Oak Park compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Central Oak Park scores 0.4 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,438 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Oak Park?

Average gross rent in Central Oak Park is $1,438/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Oak Park residents are renters?

29% of Central Oak Park households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 8,993 residents.
Q5

Is Central Oak Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Oak Park sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central Oak Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Oak Park is census tract 12103022101 (score 3.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.7 to 3.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Central Oak Park for landlords?

Central Oak Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Oak Park?

Central Oak Park has 9,140 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.7%), Hispanic / Latino (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Oak Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Oak Park.

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