Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Central Oak Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103022101 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,946 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 12103022101 in the Central Oak Park area of St. Petersburg, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units893
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$61,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7787, -82.6897 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Oak Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,187 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Central Oak Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 31%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 74Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Oak Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Oak Park
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,187, 29% below the St. Petersburg average.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $61,917.
37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103022101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103022101?
Census tract 12103022101 in the Central Oak Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103022101?
Median gross rent is $1,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103022101?
16.7% of residents in tract 12103022101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,946.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103022101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 11th, minority 31th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12103022101 considered part of Central Oak Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103022101 fall within Central Oak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103022101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103022101 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103022101 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103022101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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