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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011000 · Polk, FL · pop 3,272 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland

12105011000 is a census tract in Lakeland, FL. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,272. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 20% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$33,065

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0493, -81.9838 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0110003.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 739Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2000)
  • 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105011000
Filings dropped 30% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Polk County average of 45.8%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

At $913 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Lakeland commands. Disability prevalence runs 48.4% against 31.5% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $33,065, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records carry 739 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2000, when 15.0% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011000?

Census tract 12105011000 in Lakeland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011000?

Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011000?

21.3% of residents in tract 12105011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,272.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 100th, minority 81th, housing 88th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 739 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.31% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011000 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011000 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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