Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Julington Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Fruit Cove
Tract 12109020802 · St. Johns, FL · pop 3,782 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12109020802, home to 3,782 residents in Julington Creek in Fruit Cove, scores 4.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 21% of US census tracts.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,107 a month against an average household income of $122,470 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,367
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$122,470
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fruit Cove and the region
Centroid at 30.1150, -81.6043 · click any tract to drill in
Why Julington Creek scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fruit Cove
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,107 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruit Cove
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruit Cove
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruit Cove
4.8
How Julington Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2008)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Julington Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Julington Creek
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fruit Cove, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.4% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020802?
Census tract 12109020802 in the Julington Creek neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020802?
Median gross rent is $2,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020802?
2.3% of residents in tract 12109020802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,782.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 20th, minority 8th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12109020802 considered part of Julington Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020802 fall within Julington Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12109020802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.45% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12109020802 compare to Fruit Cove overall?
Tract 12109020802 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Fruit Cove at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruit Cove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fruit Cove
Top eight tracts in Fruit Cove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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