Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Fruit Cove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12109020808 · St. Johns, FL · pop 12,341 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Fruit Cove
With a score of 3/10, tract 12109020808 in Fruit Cove, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 12,341 residents. The voucher gap is 47.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units3,702
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$166,453
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fruit Cove and the region
Centroid at 30.0962, -81.5692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fruit Cove scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fruit Cove
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,547 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruit Cove
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruit Cove
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruit Cove
4.8
How Fruit Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fruit Cove
The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Against St. Johns County at 53.0%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the St. Johns County average of 3.7. At $2,547 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Fruit Cove commands.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.3/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020808?
Census tract 12109020808 in Fruit Cove scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020808?
Median gross rent is $2,547/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020808?
3.2% of residents in tract 12109020808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 12,341.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 30th, minority 43th, housing 4th.
Q5
How does tract 12109020808 compare to Fruit Cove overall?
Tract 12109020808 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fruit Cove at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruit Cove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fruit Cove
Top eight tracts in Fruit Cove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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