Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Fruit Cove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12109020803 · St. Johns, FL · pop 5,940
12109020803 is a census tract in Fruit Cove, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,940 residents. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,893
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$134,006
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fruit Cove and the region
Centroid at 30.1148, -81.6319 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fruit Cove scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fruit Cove
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,265 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruit Cove
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruit Cove
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruit Cove
4.8
How Fruit Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2006)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fruit Cove
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 25 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the St. Johns County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2006 at 2.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020803?
Census tract 12109020803 in Fruit Cove scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020803?
Median gross rent is $2,265/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020803?
3.1% of residents in tract 12109020803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,940.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 18th, minority 30th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020803?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109020803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.30% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12109020803 compare to Fruit Cove overall?
Tract 12109020803 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fruit Cove at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruit Cove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fruit Cove
Top eight tracts in Fruit Cove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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