Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Julington Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Fruit Cove
Tract 12109020801 · St. Johns, FL · pop 8,570 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12109020801 sits in the Julington Creek area of Fruit Cove, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 8,570 residents. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the St. Johns County average of 53.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,292
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$137,175
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fruit Cove and the region
Centroid at 30.1183, -81.5839 · click any tract to drill in
Why Julington Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fruit Cove
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,150 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruit Cove
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruit Cove
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruit Cove
4.8
How Julington Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 3 yrs
- 4.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Julington Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Julington Creek
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 24.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 12 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
It sits 0.7 points below the St. Johns County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2006 at 7.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020801?
Census tract 12109020801 in the Julington Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020801?
Median gross rent is $2,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020801?
4.2% of residents in tract 12109020801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,570.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 65th, minority 45th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 12109020801 considered part of Julington Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020801 fall within Julington Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12109020801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.51% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12109020801 compare to Fruit Cove overall?
Tract 12109020801 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fruit Cove at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruit Cove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fruit Cove
Top eight tracts in Fruit Cove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related