Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Ashland Arts District Eviction Risk: High , Evanston
Tract 17031809300 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,799 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 17031809300 sits in the Ashland Arts District area of Evanston eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 4,799. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,035
Renter share70.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate29.8%
Median income$49,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evanston and the region
Centroid at 42.0580, -87.6865 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashland Arts District scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
29.8% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,710 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1
How Ashland Arts District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 21%Grade B
- 44%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 15 yrs
- 0.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2002)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashland Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.9%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashland Arts District
61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Set annual rent against average income of $49,063 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.8/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 137 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 1.1% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031809300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809300?
Census tract 17031809300 in the Ashland Arts District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031809300?
Median gross rent is $1,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809300?
29.8% of residents in tract 17031809300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,799.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 2th, minority 61th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 17031809300 considered part of Ashland Arts District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809300 fall within Ashland Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031809300 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031809300 compare to Evanston overall?
Tract 17031809300 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Evanston at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031809300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evanston
Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Downtown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
South Evanston
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Church and Dodge
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ashland Arts District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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