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Neighborhood · Aurora, IL

Frontenac Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 22,432 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3–5.1

Frontenac spans 5 census tracts of Aurora, IL, population 22,432. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. Against a Aurora baseline of 28.2%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5.1. A 2.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,927, 21% above the Aurora average of $1,596. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Disability prevalence reaches 18.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Aurora, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third. Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Frontenac vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.3% +57%
Aurora: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,927 +21%
Aurora: $1,596
Average HH income
$116,343 +29%
Aurora: $90,109
Poverty rate
8.4% -14%
Aurora: 9.8%
Renter share
37.1% +10%
Aurora: 33.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Frontenac and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why Frontenac scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
8.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–7.8 across tracts
5.9
Risk score comparison

Frontenac vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Frontenac score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Frontenac: 4.14.1FrontenacNeighborhoodState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Frontenac?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 3 to 5.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Frontenac

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17043846515 5.1 5,138 51% $1,782
17043846513 4.7 3,302 63% $1,864
17043846509 4 5,909 32% $1,944
17043846510 3.7 3,896 52% $1,797
17043846514 3 4,187 31% $2,253
Frequently asked

About Frontenac

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Frontenac?

Frontenac scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Frontenac compare to Aurora overall?

Frontenac scores 0.1 points higher than Aurora overall (4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,927 vs $1,596.
Q3

What is the average rent in Frontenac?

Average gross rent in Frontenac is $1,927/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Frontenac residents are renters?

37% of Frontenac households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 22,432 residents.
Q5

Which tracts in Frontenac have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Frontenac is census tract 17043846515 (score 5.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q6

How safe is Frontenac for landlords?

Frontenac carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Frontenac?

Frontenac has 22,477 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (32.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Frontenac

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Frontenac.

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