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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201001000 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,720 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17201001000 in the Downtown Rockford area of Rockford, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,720 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 43% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,051
Renter share80.3%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$21,403

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Downtown Rockford
Very High
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 54 tracts In Rockford
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Very High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2596, -89.0919 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Rockford scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Downtown Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Rockford risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0010004.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Rockford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Rockford

Food insecurity runs 44.9% against 17.8% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $21,403 and the ratio lands at 51%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Winnebago County average of 4.3. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.7% against 11.3% nationally. At $904 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Rockford commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001000?

Census tract 17201001000 in the Downtown Rockford neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201001000?

Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001000?

52.6% of residents in tract 17201001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,720.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 81th, minority 82th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 17201001000 considered part of Downtown Rockford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201001000 fall within Downtown Rockford (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201001000 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 62% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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