Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201001600 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,068

Census tract 17201001600 covers part of Rockford, IL, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,068. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units2,189

Renter share51.3%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate9.5%

Median income$43,236

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2450, -89.0374 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

9.5% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$978 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
32%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.6%Housing insecurity
12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
23.3%SNAP enrollment
12.1%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
34.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 44.4% across Winnebago County.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 23.3% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

Food insecurity runs 24.8% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001600?

Census tract 17201001600 in Rockford scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201001600?

Median gross rent is $978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001600?

9.5% of residents in tract 17201001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,068.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 62th.

What share of households in tract 17201001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201001600 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001600 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.