Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201002000 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,042

Census tract 17201002000 covers part of Rockford, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Winnebago County average of 44.4%.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 14% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units776

Renter share36.3%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate22.5%

Median income$38,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2287, -89.0795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

22.5% poverty · this tract

5.6

Supply constraint

$914 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
54%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.9%Housing insecurity
20.0%Utility-shutoff threat
41.9%Food insecurity
45.6%SNAP enrollment
19.9%Transit barriers
23.5%No health insurance
23.3%Frequent mental distress
47.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

Food insecurity runs 41.9% against 17.8% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 47.3% against 31.5% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.

Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201002000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201002000?

Census tract 17201002000 in Rockford scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201002000?

Median gross rent is $914/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201002000?

22.5% of residents in tract 17201002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,042.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201002000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 76th, minority 57th, housing 54th.

What share of households in tract 17201002000 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201002000 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201002000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201002000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 54% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.