Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201002302 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 1,296 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Rockford

17201002302 is a census tract in Rockford, IL. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,296. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 15% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units554

Renter share28.3%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate18.4%

Median income$53,529

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2715, -89.1613 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

18.4% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$948 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

62%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
42%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.8%Housing insecurity
12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
25.6%Food insecurity
26.6%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
13.7%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
40.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Winnebago County average of 4.3 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201002302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201002302?

Census tract 17201002302 in Rockford scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201002302?

Median gross rent is $948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201002302?

18.4% of residents in tract 17201002302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,296.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201002302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 77th, minority 32th, housing 3th.

What share of households in tract 17201002302 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201002302 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201002302 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201002302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.