North Vale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford
Tract 17201000502 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,100 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 17201000502 sits in the North Vale area of Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 4,100 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.2590, -89.0137 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Vale scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow North Vale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Vale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.7%Food insecurity
- 27.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in North Vale
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. SNAP participation runs 27.4% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Food insecurity runs 26.7% against 17.8% nationally. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Winnebago County average of 44.4%.
Average gross rent is $1,071, 9% above the Rockford average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Rockford as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 17201000502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000502?
What is the average rent in tract 17201000502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000502?
Is tract 17201000502 considered part of North Vale?
What share of households in tract 17201000502 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17201000502 compare to Rockford overall?
Was tract 17201000502 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.