Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

North Vale Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockford

Tract 17201000501 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,096 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 17201000501 belongs to the North Vale neighborhood of Rockford, Illinois. It is home to 5,096 residents and scores 4.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 16th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $959 a month against an average household income of $76,684 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 18% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,900

Renter share28.8%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate4.7%

Median income$76,684

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2457, -89.0144 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Vale scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

4.7% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$959 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How North Vale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
20%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Vale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
12.2%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Vale

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201000501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000501?

Census tract 17201000501 in the North Vale neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201000501?

Median gross rent is $959/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000501?

4.7% of residents in tract 17201000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,096.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 96th, minority 40th, housing 28th.

Is tract 17201000501 considered part of North Vale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000501 fall within North Vale (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201000501 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201000501 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201000501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.