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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

North Vale Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockford

Tract 17201000501 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 5,096 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 17201000501 in the North Vale area of Rockford, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,096 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 18% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,900
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$76,684

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In North Vale
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 54 tracts In Rockford
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#2,873 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2457, -89.0144 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Vale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$959 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How North Vale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Vale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0005014.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Vale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Vale

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 44.4% across Winnebago County. It sits 1.3 points below the Winnebago County average of 4.3.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $76,684, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $959, close to the Rockford average. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201000501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000501?

Census tract 17201000501 in the North Vale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201000501?

Median gross rent is $959/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000501?

4.7% of residents in tract 17201000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,096.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 96th, minority 40th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 17201000501 considered part of North Vale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000501 fall within North Vale (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201000501 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201000501 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201000501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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