Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Shanklin Millrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Goshen
Tract 18039000100 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 2,989 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 18039000100 covers part of the Shanklin Millrace area of Goshen, IN, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Elkhart County at 40.7%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,044
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$60,608
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.5818, -85.8352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shanklin Millrace scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4
How Shanklin Millrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.5%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shanklin Millrace
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.5/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $851, 22% below the Goshen average.
It sits 0.7 points above the Elkhart County average of 3.9. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $60,608, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000100?
Census tract 18039000100 in the Shanklin Millrace neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039000100?
Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000100?
15.6% of residents in tract 18039000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,989.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 84th, minority 43th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 18039000100 considered part of Shanklin Millrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000100 fall within Shanklin Millrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 18039000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 18039000100 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 18039000100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
East Goshen
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Terrace Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
West Goshen
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
18039000400
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000301
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039001302
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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